Politics

How confirmation bias, tribalism affects politics | Opinion

On the peak of the American Civil Battle, President Abraham Lincoln ordered Secretary of Battle Edwin Stanton to help a congressman’s pet undertaking. An irate Stanton informed the congressman that the president was a “damned idiot.”

The congressman, hoping to curry favor with the president and harm Stanton, informed Lincoln of the remark. In pure Lincolnian model, the president responded, “If Stanton stated I used to be a damned idiot, then I have to be one, for he’s almost at all times proper and customarily says what he means. I’ll step over and see him.”

There may be a lot to be admired on this anecdote. First, Stanton not solely brazenly criticized the president however he was a former member of the alternative social gathering, having beforehand served as legal professional basic beneath James Buchanan. 

Lincoln, nevertheless, not solely appreciated dissent however inspired it. Such magnanimity is misplaced as of late in a lot of American politics, however throughout this election season, we are able to observe Lincoln’s instance and overcome quirks in our psychology that, if unchecked, flip us into unhealthy residents and leaders.

Social psychologists and behavioral economists examine how people view the world, and understanding these pure tendencies may also help us overcome polarization. First is our affinity for tribe. Social teams are vital for human beings as a result of they’ll construct belief and cut back boundaries to peace and commerce. Nonetheless, tribalism may be counterproductive when it causes us to consider those that look, assume or worship in another way because the “different.”

Adam Grant, a tutorial psychologist, interviewed Yankees followers about how they seen Crimson Sox followers. One remark stood out: “What would it not take for me to cheer for the Crimson Sox? In the event that they have been taking part in Al Qaeda…possibly.”

Rivalries in sports activities may be enjoyable and entertaining, however in politics, they are often downright poisonous. Whereas tribes can provide us social networks and built-in good friend teams, tribes punish defection by exclusion or diminished social standing. Behavioral economists have found that in-group favor may be extra vital than whole societal welfare. Put merely, many citizens really feel it’s extra vital for his or her group to win than for essentially the most certified candidate to be elected. We put social gathering over nation.

As soon as our tribal identification is about, we develop a powerful style for info sources that “show” that our beliefs are appropriate; this is called affirmation bias. Over the previous decade, the rise of algorithms in social media and information retailers has allowed us to personalize an unhealthy weight loss program of media junk meals. As a substitute of difficult our beliefs as new info comes out in a altering world, our brains weave a comforting cocoon to guard us from the ache of change. 

Once we uncover that we’ve made an error, that our beliefs are incorrect, our mind alerts bodily ache. It sends out {an electrical} wave referred to as error-related negativity. We discover it finest to keep away from that discomfort in any respect prices and go deeper into the carnival enjoyable home distortion of actuality. 

Lastly, our brains expertise one thing often known as “negativity bias.” To outlive in an historic world, we wanted to weigh the small probability of being eaten by a lion closely in opposition to the possible occasion of discovering meals. This fight-or-flight mechanism ensured that the species would proceed, however within the fashionable world, it might trigger havoc.

For instance, after I obtain my course evaluations, I’ll have 20 college students that say they loved my course, however my thoughts will fixate on the one response that stated I used to be the worst professor ever. Negativity bias causes us to embrace conspiracy theories and false campaigns as a result of we reply to candidates who inform us that our communities are failing and the economic system is tanking — even when that’s removed from the reality. We panic over a solitary case of one thing that displeases us and neglect that these occasions are extraordinarily uncommon.

Political events, social media corporations and cable information perceive these psychological quirks and spend money on methods to set off these reactions in voters and viewers. Their goal is sustaining your consideration after which getting the votes and advert income that flows from it.

Filling potholes, studying budgets and sitting on committees usually are not speculated to be entertaining. Thus this a part of governance is ignored in favor of points that divide our group into tribes, assuage our prior (and possibly falsely held) beliefs and pump us with rage.  

We’re all people and endure from the identical flaws. I do. You do. Your neighbor does. The difficult half is that for those who learn this column and thought solely of somebody on the “different aspect”, then you may have fallen for the lure. It’s in all places, and it’s hurting our discourse. Calm and demanding pondering ought to trigger us to ponder why we see the political world as we do that electoral season.

Michael S. Kofoed, @mikekofoed on Twitter, is an affiliate professor of economics on the U.S. Army Academy and a analysis fellow on the Institute of Labor Economics. A Utah native, he holds levels in economics from Weber State College and the College of Georgia. These opinions are these of the creator and don’t symbolize the U.S. Army Academy, the Division of the Military or the Division of Protection.

 




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