Politics

The Senate playing field is shrinking

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CNN
 — 

Final week, an excellent PAC affiliated with Mitch McConnell introduced it was pulling nearly $6 million out of the New Hampshire Senate race. On Tuesday, the group dumped an extra $6 million into the Pennsylvania Senate race.

“Dr. Oz is surging, however Democrats are throwing a barrage of late spending into Pennsylvania to cease his momentum,” Senate Management Fund president Steven Legislation stated. “It is a must-win race the place we’ve to consolidate our firepower to make sure Oz will get excessive. We consider if we win Pennsylvania, we win the bulk.”

The transfer by SLF is the most recent and most distinguished instance of the shrinking Senate taking part in discipline with the midterm elections now solely two weeks away.

With the Senate knotted at 50-50, the emphasis – on either side – is now on profitable the small handful of races seen as most competitive between the 2 events, with the Pennsylvania seat, presently held by the GOP, on the prime of that listing, adopted by Democratic-held seats in Georgia and Nevada.

North Carolina, Ohio and Wisconsin are a part of the second tier of aggressive seats – all three of that are presently managed by Republicans. (Price noting: main Democratic exterior teams have largely sat out Ohio regardless of Rep. Tim Ryan’s stronger-than-expected marketing campaign.)

There’s additionally Arizona, the place Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly has held a slim lead over Republican nominee Blake Masters. SLF beforehand canceled advert reservations for September and October within the race.

Seemingly gone for Republicans are the goals of choosing up the likes of the New Hampshire seat, the place Sen. Maggie Hassan is looking for a second time period. Ditto Republican hopes of beating Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet.

Whispers of profitable a sleeper race over longtime Iowa GOP Sen. Chuck Grassley have largely pale for Democrats. The identical goes for Florida, the place Democratic Rep. Val Demings has been unable to shut a persistent single-digit edge for Republican Sen. Marco Rubio.

Choices to chop off heavy advert spending usually quantity to an admission of defeat. And it’s these choices that usually make or break a marketing campaign for almost all. Select to drag out of a race too quickly (or not quickly sufficient) and you can be losing hundreds of thousands of treasured advert {dollars} on a misplaced trigger.

The Level: One of the simplest ways to grasp the place all sides sees the bulk being made is to comply with the cash. And what the cash tells us proper now’s that the map is getting smaller even because the stakes are getting bigger.


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